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Industrial Production Expands 0.7% in October

(16 November 2011)

Industrial production expanded 0.7 percent in October after having declined 0.1 percent in September. Previously, industrial production was reported to have gained 0.2 percent in September; most of this revision resulted from lower estimated output for mining.

Factory output increased 0.5 percent in October after having risen 0.3 percent in September. Production at mines climbed 2.3 percent in October, while the output of utilities edged down 0.1 percent.

Manufacturing output increased 0.5 percent in October and was 4.1 percent above its year-earlier level. In October, the factory operating rate moved up to 75.4 percent, a rate 11.0 percentage points above its trough in June 2009 but still 3.6 percentage points below its long-run average.

The output of durable goods increased 0.8 percent in October and has gained 7.8 percent in the past 12 months. Advances of at least 2 percent were reported in October for electrical equipment, appliances, and components; motor vehicles and parts; and aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment. In contrast, losses of 2 percent or more occurred for wood products and nonmetallic mineral products.

The index for nondurable manufacturing rose 0.2 percent in October. Among the major components of nondurables, the output of apparel and leather jumped 2.8 percent, and gains were also registered for food, beverage, and tobacco products; chemicals; and plastics and rubber products. Decreases were recorded for textile and product mills, paper, printing, and petroleum and coal products. The index for other manufacturing (non-NAICS), which consists of publishing and logging, declined 0.2 percent.

"The good news is that U.S. aerospace firms and other industries are benefiting from the strong growth in emerging economies, and domestic businesses are confident enough in the future to continue expanding purchases of capital equipment," said Daniel J. Meckstroth, chief economist for the Manufacturers Alliance/MAPI. "A worrisome aspect in the industrial production report is that industries tied to the housing market are still struggling. The unwinding of the negative effects of the housing debacle is, unfortunately, taking a long time and continues to have a limiting effect on the manufacturing recovery."

At 94.7 percent of its 2007 average, total industrial production for October was 3.9 percent above its year-earlier level. Capacity utilization for total industry stepped up to 77.8 percent, a rate 2.1 percentage points above its level from a year earlier but 2.6 percentage points below its long-run (1972-2010) average.

The output of mines climbed 2.3 percent in October, with gains in each of its major components, after having dipped 0.5 percent in September. Capacity utilization in mining moved up to 92.7 percent in October, a rate 5.3 percentage points above its long-run average. The output of utilities edged down 0.1 percent, and its operating rate declined to 77.5 percent, a rate 9.1 percentage points below its long-run average.

Capacity utilization rates in October at industries by stage of process were as follows: At the crude stage, utilization increased 1.5 percentage points to 89.9 percent, a rate 3.5 percentage points above its long-run average; at the primary and semifinished stages, utilization edged down 0.1 percentage point to 74.0 percent, a rate 7.3 percentage points below its long-run average; and at the finished stage, utilization rose 0.7 percentage point to 77.2 percent, a rate 0.1 percentage point below its long-run average.

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