Any bank in win-win big breakthrough in Wednesday's nuclear talks with Iran may find themselves in the bet, who in the instant soaring for investors in the same boat, last week Facebook stock prices. If the nuclear negotiations, Iran, then-like a investment value of Facebook-it is possible with the passage of time. And in both cases, even if is the result of the long-term is still unclear.
The two officials seemed to solidify the expected in Baghdad ahead of the meeting. A senior U.S. official said: "if we talk about substantive elements, and agree to trade to meet again in three weeks, Baghdad will have success," aluminum monitor last Monday. The spin in recent weeks in advance of the talks were positive-almost too diplomats, they naturally willing to reduce expected positive. In the home, Iran's leaders announced that the great victory of the, in the western powers of negotiations, but Iran continues to enrich uranium will, it shows that they were preparing for a compromise agreement, as a great victory, will sell its public. Western narrative describe Iran's willingness to negotiate the tightening of the economic sanctions constantly consequences, this means that have to keep this pressure to curb its nuclear ambitions.
(: why Iran may be ready to talk about)
There are some positive signs: in Tehran Sunday's talks atomic energy agency chief Yukiya day wild and Iran's nuclear negotiator said appears to give the · has made 1 in principle agreement, no not sign or finalized will nuclear, regulatory agencies visit Iran's sensitive sites. Day wild, he has set up a file in the processing and Iran's tough stance, is optimistic, hope the agreement signed "soon." But, the international atomic energy agency negotiation is the negotiations P5 + 1 (the United States, Iran and the undercard France, Britain, Germany, Russia and China). Even if they improve Baghdad conference atmosphere, Iran and 5 + 1 partial between digital may jeopardize any atomic energy agency the progress made.
Again, in the Iraqi capital of Baghdad Wednesday's talks-Iran's choice of site-not a all or nothing all things. Last weekend's ?-8 summit communique called for Iran will have the opportunity to discuss the detailed short-term, specific steps, can, through the mutually beneficial basis in step 1, by the way-step, leading to a comprehensive negotiations toward solutions, including "restore international confidence that its nuclear program is solely for peaceful purposes." In other words, a part of the world powers of the talks in Baghdad a diplomatic process may be in the next few weeks to started to create sustainable development momentum to peaceful settlement of the concrete steps.
In Baghdad, the two sides will put down their bid opening sequence mutual step definition, break the deadlock, and to establish diplomatic momentum. And, obviously, they will present obvious different ideas, everyone should take steps and in what order. To bridge the gap, and through the feasible temporary suggest, may need to many weeks or months of negotiations.
(more: the future of Iran's nuclear talks with political pressure, stents)
In the P5 + 1 show the current work focused on a stop Iran's enrichment of uranium to 20% purity, one is on the surface of the process, created in Tehran medical research reactor fuel, but generally close to weapons grade material through the post-processing time more than 3.5% of uranium, Iran's rich reactor fuel, the measures. According to the report, western powers would be calling on Iran to stop enriching uranium and 20% of the inspectors sent abroad converted into fuel rods (this is difficult to into weapons grade material), its inventory, etc. They will be particularly demanded that Iran stop in Fordow, near to the KuM, 20% of the uranium enrichment has been ongoing since January of building facilities work hardening mountainside. The site has been of particular interest to the israelites, and they worry that it might be beyond the scope of the air force.
The number of senior Iranian officials, past and present, say, Iran's willingness to do the deal, more than 20% of the uranium enrichment, although whether and under what conditions, they will meet the requirements of all of these remains to be seen. But Iran will receive in exchange for a deal, stop the 20% enrichment? Difficulties. Iran's leaders had made it clear that Tehran think exchange as a loose sanctions, especially designed to cut off Iran's oil exports, due to come into effect on July 1, the measures of the present situation of the to do so. "If these sanctions play, why can deal with Iran?" Carnegie endowment for international peace George Perkovich foundation to the analysts public radio station (Tuesday). "They won't, I think they just said, hell, if you want to punish us in any case, so why have I admit??????? So agreed to suspend the sanctions measures will be a very important factor in Iran." But U.S. officials stressed that the 20% enrichment concessions to relieve pressure sanctions. "Just hope that iranians don't self-deception, he had to get sanctions relief," said the American officials aluminum monitor. "This will not happen at this stage."
(more: Israel will Iran talks the next round of strict requirements)
Sanctions have the most important form of Washington, with Iran and trade exchanges, the temporary agreement in the early game, they are far from it's not very likely. One step one step of mutual method, shaped by Russia originally, need both parties agree to check steps, to make these measures gradually, but this political pressure, Obama government may not have enough flexibility, it may need to open ease sanctions. The United States has many of the measures imposed by the United States congress, it adopted and Iran's nuclear compromise dim view. And trying to reverse any the pressure on Iran, in an election year may be proved to be challenging, especially when Israeli leaders open diplomatic process sceptical.
Prime minister Benjamin netanyahu insists that the success of the bottom line is what less than destroy Iran's uranium enrichment ability, or even 3.5% of the agreement. This is highly unlikely, Iran will agree to give up its as a signatory to the nuclear non-proliferation treaty, to enrich uranium for peaceful purposes right, it won't appear, it is required to make the P5 plus 1. Even so, expect Israel force back vehemently opposed to relax the temporary agreement on the basis of sanctions against Iran pressure of any action-also try to set up foreign deadline




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