India may be heading another bumper grain harvest, if proved correct, but in the rain, too little - too late - the southern and western states have the worst dry mouth the first to predict this year's monsoon in four decades the drought.
While last year's monsoon rains, overall less than normal, only seven percent go to these countries - including the cotton-growing major sugar producing countries Maharashtra Gujarat - In short, in some cases, more than half of the precipitation. They need to be less and less.
The drought this year may further lead to large-scale immigrant families Mumbai and other cities to seek employment and precious water. This would also hit crops, farm incomes shrink, thus reducing the economic growth in the region, as well as contributing to food inflation.
India's economic difficulties, the third largest in Asia, is showing some green shoots of recovery in the last year, but any short drought damage to the monsoon these risks. The drought wipe off economic growth, as farm output the wither and consumer booth up to 2 percentage points.
, Said: "If the monsoon season is good, then the farmers will earn money, and from October to spend this point we have to deal with the slowdown, manager in Raghuvir car, it's priced at Mahala facilities Tela Bang Aurangabad hero motorcyles Kamalkant Deshmukh.
His sales decreased by half, from the decline in the first three months of 2013, overall sales of motorcycles in India every year to 8.3% in March.
A widespread drought may push CRISIL Chief Economist DK Joshi said India's overall economic growth rate in the current fiscal year ending March 2014, down to as low as 6% of the forecast from the current 5.1%
On Friday, the global experts predict that India will receive normal monsoon rains this year, and may be confirmed on April 26 with his first official forecast, India's weather office.
However, the huge subcontinent, extending in the southern tropical regions, from the Himalayas in the north, with more changes, perhaps more than in any other region in the world, the soil type and climate. Even in normal monsoon season rains in many areas, and other flood fighting.
The wells dried up
June to September rainfall of 55-60% of the arable land of India is the key to the lack of irrigation. Drought damage to crops and yield, sometimes forcing the country to import food, its population of 120 million, driven by higher global prices.
The success of last year's rainfall, excess demand means that India's sugar, rice and wheat production are, in some cases, to break the record. Government food stocks has overflowed and New Delhi to promote exports, in order to avoid the waste of rice and wheat rot and rodents.
But the devil is in the details.
The village Jamwadi dried up, the death of his 17-year-old sweet lime orchard farmers in western Maharashtra Sanjay Wadekar watched wells on his land in recent weeks.
Now, he is planting cotton, hope daring, less thirsty crops to survive and bring some income.
Due to the drought, I have lost my savings in the past few years, if the drought to repeat this year, I had no choice, only defaulted loans for crops and tractors, I may have to sell some families recurrent expenditure gold, said : "Wadekar.
Sugar cane is used to feed cows
Maharashtra, Gujarat and Rajasthan to the west and the southern state of Karnataka, Kerala and Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh have an urgent need for adequate rainfall this year, covering an area of roughly equivalent to southern Europe.
According to some estimates, sugar production for the first time less than a drop in demand in 2013/14, 2004, has been reduced planting drought in Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra and Karnataka.
Sugar production has been reduced by 17% in Maharashtra, India's main producing countries, food production is a similar amount.
Cotton production has also been hit by a drop of more than 29%, in Gujarat, Maharashtra the onion production - key to Indian spicy dish - is likely to decline more than 19%.
In addition, the state has to buy sugar cane feed to ensure the survival of the cows, the main source of income of the farmers, the effects of drought to their crops.
The drought is so bad, in Maharashtra, the small drinking water supply. Nearly 12,000 villages affected, tanker water supply. People in Jamwadi trek nearly 2 km remains the discovery well of water.
"Many of our relatives to move to Mumbai, where they work and water, said:" 25 Salma Beniwale, in her third round-trip and on a recent day. "We are also thinking to go there, because I do not think we'll get 5 water."
It is not just precious drinking water.
The Bajirao said: "People have no choice, but the stool in the open," In addition, a farm workers currently not working Jamwadi in. "Here, we are in the efforts to ensure that the drinking water. Use the toilet means that we have to make a more rounded with water."
 



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