Recent south Korean history reveals a sobering possibility: it may only be a matter of time before, flash, north Korea launched a deadly attack on the south. And perhaps more worryingly, Seoul swear, this time, it will respond to a more powerful attack.
Attack by the past humiliation, Korea promised - as recently - playing hard next attack on Tuesday from the north, the prospect of open is an encounter might become a wider war.
Lost in title growl in Washington about a nuclear strike, in response to the United Nations sanctions against north Korea is a single sentence in the March 5 in north Korea's army supreme command statement. It said that north Korea "will strike anywhere, anytime in any target of justice, because it has no limit."
These words have recently a chilling link, Pyongyang, angry perceive contempt, rival South Korea before the time of revenge. , vows revenge after clashes at sea, and South Korea in 1999 and 2009, for example, the second is more bloodshed, including in 2010 of killing 50 South Korea to north Korea's attack, blamed.
These attacks, a former intelligence officials in the United States, now in the heritage foundation in Washington, d.c., Bruce conklin, wrote three years ago, "the regime's ability to and intention is a vivid reminder that" think-tank in a recent release.
Almost the current tension in 2009 of the mirror, when approved by the United Nations sanctions, north Korea's missile and nuclear tests, north Korea and angry response. In November of this year, Seoul claimed the victory of the war, the north sea Pyongyang vowed revenge.
In March 2010, the cheonan, a 1200 - ton south Korean warship, the explosion that sank in the yellow sea, killing 46 crew members. One of South Korea's dominant international survey found that north Korea torpedoed ships, demanding that north Korea has denied this.
Four months ago for the navy's failure, may be retaliation for the sinking of the cheonan, Su Yuhuan said dongguk university in Seoul Korea expert.
A north Korean soldier weapon, participate in military training of north Korea's official kcna news agency on March 11, 2013 published in Pyongyang in this picture in a secret location. South Korea...
1/30 | share to Facebook to share images through the Korean central news agency/REUTERS
Close a picture on one picture in November 2010, north Korea warned that cancel plans on yeonpyeong island, South Korea, it is only 7 kilometers, from north Korea in the yellow sea north Korea claims to be a routine live-fire artillery drill.
Seoul, South Korea went ahead drills, fire, said, distance is within the territory of north Korean waters. The Korean hair shells raining island, killing two civilians and two marines.
South Korea's response to their fire, but President lee myung-bak government's severe criticism at that time, is regarded as a slow slow, weak response. If again hit north lee, a conservative who angered liberal government before the end of north Korea's "sunshine policy" of large shipments of aid with few strings, swear massive retaliation.
Newly appointed chairman, park geun-hye, is also a conservative, the government has made a similar opinions, though she also said that she would try to build trust with north Korea and to explore new dialogue and aid shipments.
South Korea's defense ministry on Tuesday reiterated that it will severely deal with any future attacks from the north. Spokesman Jin Min tin, there are currently no signs that north Korea will attack very quickly, but warned that if so, it will have "greater harm than any of South Korea.
North Korea's leader, Kim jong UN, visited the artillery on Monday with South Korea near the disputed waters, and urged them to "high alert", because the war could erupt at any time, north Korea's official media.
If war breaks out, will assume the south Korean military in the United States, because the country several decades old alliance, start with the us-led invaders military response to north Korea in 1950. But South Korea has made it clear that it has sovereign rights and political needs, make a strong reaction, a north Korean attack in the future.
North Korea may attack the clues, may is the timing of the threat. In the U.S. and south Korean military exercise will continue every year to the end of April, north Korea is angry.
Pyongyang is highly unlikely that the United States when so much of the fire, the assemble phase, but analysts said after the drill, it may run into South Korea.
"They quiet, high tension, the national most advanced weapons were to a Korean exercises, in the government, an analyst at the Korea institute for national unification in Seoul, said:" spring xian jun.
If history can be used as a reference, is most likely flashpoint in the yellow sea, north Korea since the 1950 s, the sea border complain. The us-led United Nations command to the so-called northern limit line attempt failed, border talks after the Korean war, Pyongyang said it clearly beneficial to boxing near its coast in the south of the north.
Bloody battle took place in 1999, 2002 and 2009, north Korea's shelling of yeonpyeong island in 2010, after one week, South Korea and the U.S. annual exercise, said spring. In this case, in the current exercise, north Korea's official media reactions harsh criticism of war games, said their invasion of the north.
North Korea sometimes take months to through occasional mysterious threat or warning, but it also has to act quickly.
North Korea's military provocation, tried to in a short span of a few weeks, every south Korean President inauguration ceremony dates back to 1992, according to overseas, U.S. President George w. bush, a former Asia adviser, Ellen gold in the United States of the center for strategic and international studies, a think-tank in Washington. South Korea's new President took office on February 25th.
"Is expected in the next few weeks north Korea's provocations," tea and Kim wrote.
 
 



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