North Korea's nuclear test facility repair flood losses, and the rapid explosion of the atomic bomb, if it chose, although the the test the tunnel flow out of water can cause problems, recent analysis of satellite photos show.
Washington and other support possibility, if the punishment of a successful long-range rocket launch December 12, the United Nations that a lid is prohibited ballistic missile test, North Korea's next step might be its third nuclear test.
Rocket and nuclear tests at a loss, Washington and its allies, because each new success makes Korean scientists another step further improve nuclear warhead missiles capable of hitting the continental United States, small enough to fit into.
Another nuclear test, which the North Korean Foreign Ministry hinted rocket launchers in the day, the appropriate mode. Pyongyang conducted its first and second atomic explosion, received in 2006 and 2009, weeks after a similar long UN Security Council condemned the and sanctions range rocket launch.
North Korea enough plutonium to a handful of crude atomic bomb, and in 2010 launched a uranium enrichment facility, but it must continue to be tested, in order to master the miniaturization of key technologies in a real nuclear weapons program.
Additional nuclear test, North Korea may be the final deployment of nuclear weapons to promote their long-range missiles, "the private Arms Control Association Executive Director 达里尔金博尔 said.
Analysts warned, only so much to determine the satellite image, it is difficult to completely insight into North Korea's plans. This is particularly true of the nuclear test preparations, often deep in the mountains. For example, North Korea, to spend a lot of surprises, when it launched a rocket this month announced only a few days after technical problems.
Although there is no indication that the impending nuclear test, the U.S. and South Korean officials worry that Pyongyang may be at any time.
Determined to keep the state from December 13 and earlier versions, 38 North, the U.S. and South Korea in the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies website provides GeoEye and Digital Earth satellite photos to The Associated Press analysis that scientists ready "Punggye nuclear test facility repair flood damage.
Nuclear guess the occasion, South Korea's conservative president-elect, Park Geun-hye, ready to take office in February, a young North Korean leader Kim Jong Un as supreme commander, marked his one-year anniversary.
Gold has consolidated the power after the takeover of his father, Kim Jong-il, died on December 17, 2011, as a 20-year-old leader of the main internal political and public role in promoting and rocket launchers.
However, some analysts questioned Fellowship International, in particular China, anger and certainly the risk of sanctions, quickly conducted a nuclear test.
President of the United States may "prompted North Korea to try more diplomatic than military options in the general election Park, South Korea and U.S. President Barack Obama's campaign for re-election to a second term," said Zhang Yong, master, analyst at the Institute of Peace Affairs, a the private think tank in Seoul. "I think we will see that North Korea is more focused on economic recovery than the nuclear test next year."
38 Northern analysis that North Korea "may be able to be raised within two weeks of the explosion, once a political decision to move forward." However, the report by Jack Liu, Nick Hansen and Jeffrey Lewis said, it is unclear whether the control of seepage tunnel entrance on the scene. Water may harm a nuclear device and sensors to monitor the test.
The analysis also found that it called previously unknown structure from the harsh weather, in order to protect sensitive equipment.
"We do not have a crystal ball that will tell us when the North will conduct a third nuclear test," former U.S. State Department official Joel Witt said, now editor 38 North. "However, in the next few months, such as the United Nations, Pyongyang test-fired missiles, and North Korea South Korea's new government to expand the incident response policy toward the DPRK, can at least provide us with some clues."
Another unknown is the North's only major ally, China will be how to respond to the requirements more stringent sanctions. Washington View key, more pressure from Beijing's diplomatic pressure will force change in Pyongyang.
Beijing North to signs of punishment by the United Nations, if tested, may not be as much damage than Washington wants Pyongyang.
The impact of tougher sanctions would be "a drop in the bucket compared to China and North Korea trade" wave of sharp rise since 2008, although the inter-Korean trade remained stable Park, South Korean experts said John, the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
The trade figures show that North Korea's dependence on China deepened. Pyongyang and Beijing's trade last year, an increase of 60% up to $ 563 million, according to the Korea National Statistical Office. China accounted for North Korea 70 percent of the annual trade volume in 2011, from 57 percent in 2010.
North Korea's nuclear test in 2006, it is estimated that the explosive equivalent of 1,000 tons. Los Alamos National Laboratory is expected that, in 2011, the North test May 25, 2009, after the launch of the United Nations to condemn the long-range rocket in April, with a minimum output of 5.7 million tons. Nagasaki atomic bomb attacks during World War II, about 210,000 tons.
The two Koreas tests fissile material plutonium. Without at least one successful plutonium test, this is not possible, Pyongyang may have confidence in a miniaturized plutonium design, according to the August paper by Frank Pabian Los Alamos National Laboratory and Stanford University, Xi Gefu Reed heck.
The DPRK plutonium reserves is adequate four to eight bombs, they wrote, but it may be willing to sacrifice some, if it can increase the information from the previous test. Pabian, and Haeckel forecast, Pyongyang may test plutonium and highly concentrated uranium equipment.
A uranium test, the international community is more worried, because it will confirm that North Korea, which will take several months restart shuttered plutonium reactor on the basis of the uranium enrichment of fissile material, an alternative source. North Korea launched a previously secret uranium enrichment plant in November 2010.
"Whether and when North Korea conducted another nuclear test will depend on how high the political costs of Pyongyang willing to bear," Pabian and Hecker wrote.
Another test will destroy the North Korean statement, its long-range rocket launch is a peaceful space program, rather than what outsiders see the development, ballistic missiles could eventually deliver nuclear weapons.
Rocket launch in the same day this month, an unidentified North Korean Foreign Ministry spokesman told state media and a hostile U.S. response to a failed start in April this year has been to force Pyongyang to "re-examine the nuclear issue as a whole."
The statement is a clear advance detonated a nuclear device, the threat of any Security Council action, Baek Seung beads, the state-run Seoul, Korea Institute for Defense Analyses, analysts said.
 



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