Mitt Romney (Mitt Romney) on economic issues caught the further advantage in the 2012 campaign core, he may vote of voters, only 47% to 50% of people to support barack Obama - Mr Romney's highest priority ticket results of the competition.
The difference between the two candidates is the latest ABC news/Washington post poll track of sampling error range of, its individual support level no significant change. But even in the potential problems and attribute is Mr Romney's.
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Mr Romney's income is clear, especially in the economic results. Lange association for the study of ABC, the survey findings may vote of voters now select romney to Obama handle economic trust 52-43% - whether the core issue clear leader first held by the other candidates.
Equally important, Mr Romney has been deleted Obama's habits advantage, which a candidate can better understand the average American economic problems. Today, pick Obama's 48%, 46%, Mr Romney - in essence is a hot dead. Yesterday and today marks the first time in the campaign, barack Obama has no economic transposition thinking at least a slightly significant advantage.
These economic measures include interclass trend in yesterday's analysis, they reflect the movement in the direction of the romney almost completely white men, especially low degree of white men.
Signal - Mr Romney's income, and other signal. Expected is: now 52% of the vote may be the voters want barack Obama won the election, from late September peak of 61%. Forty percent romney won - still far less than half, but increased by 8%.
Be worth what carry is, the division of political independence 42-46%, they expect Obama or romney won the sharp transformation from to Obama's 61-31%. Also, the white, from a 55-38% of the expected in Obama's favor now on September 29 to 44-48%.
Mr Romney is in another field more competitive, and - international affairs. Although may vote of voters with 2-1 take up Mr Obama's as Monday's diplomatic policy debate winner, comfortable and Mr Romney in this problem still made progress. He is now operation is basically uniform trust Obama in handling international affairs, 48-47%, Obama romney, for the first time, they so close. It is + 7 Obama in mid-november, on the contrary, in early September + 8.
Obama retains the larger values (but not significant) edge of another problem, believe to be able to better promote the interests of the middle class, 50-45%. This is similar, when the last 51-43%, requirements on September 9 complete ABC/release vote.
In other results, barack Obama may vote in the 49% of voters support - this is 49% or 50%, since the middle of October constantly - but more "strong" does not agree with than strong identity, 41% and 30% - strength of the gap, to his work.
Horse racing - Mr Romney has never more than 49% of the vote in the ABC/published survey, make his 50% of high number. It includes a series of group - including 60% approval rating in the white of the high point, 56% of the white women, 58% of the medium to medium incomes of adults and 83% between conservatives.
The most striking is, Mr Romney is advanced, with 57% of the vote among the independent. They are a varied, rooted in parties tendency, so they finally be fond of - and their vote - is uncertain. But, they romney wealth key, he in the past week, 9 point between the improvement of the independent.
Debate is an obvious reason. Through the wide range of 47-10%, independent said left them with a better, rather than more bad impression, Mr Romney debate. In the same group, by contrast, only 17% said they to Obama's impression improve - and 26% of those surveyed think it worse.
Polarization, and at the same time, it is extreme, is in Obama's support, not white, 80% of the highs, and pull on young adults wide support - six age below 40 years old people in 10. All the same, in 61% of unmarried women, his support, democratic core group, has reached a new low, mainly because he unmarried white women's decline.
However, the overall gender gap is still large: Obama's women for 54-43%, while men to Mr Romney's - 40%.
As mentioned above, in this investigation of the overall 3 point Mr Romney and Mr Obama in the gap between the system gauge is not significant. In view of the sample size, it will take more than 6 point of poor results, with typical 95% confidence level is significant, in the not too strict confidence level of 90% or more than 5 point (hereinafter referred to as the "slight" difference).
Although the game of words, still close, Mr Romney's momentum has come in, most voters may have 37% of the vote of voters say they have cast early or plan, but including much less, 8%, who has to do so. It is a digital is increasing every day, every activity get drawn work key test.
Method, ABC news/Washington post survey on October 21, 2012 to 24, by telephone, 1386 could vote of voters, including fixed telephone and mobile phone of respondents between a random national sample. The results have margin of the sampling error for 3 points, including design effect. (12 f, 12 and 21 problem, requirements on October 23 to 24 in 707 May vote of voters, these results have 4.5 point error). ABC news survey Lange research association, New York, NY, and sampling, data collection and TAB ABT - SRBI New York.




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