Presidential debate swing voters? Or is their political entertainment, confirm the election of americans has made a choice?
Mr Romney before they hope. He and his movement is looking for a way to overcome the United States President Obama's stubborn in the poll lead Denver Wednesday night's debate. Mr Romney supporter governor Chris Christie (Chris Christie) (R) of New Jersey has walked so far, the predicted oral fight will take the game fuchsia.
Mr Christie said: "when we to Thursday morning, you would say this is a whole new game, 33 days," on Sunday in the Columbia broadcasting company "facing the whole country".
[recommendation: presidential debate: 7 a decisive moment in history]
If so, this will step trend of history, said some polls test experts and political scientists.
, for example, Gallup (Gallup) has returned to one and a half century of voting results, found that influence the result of an election presidential debates, just a few examples.
Since 1960, there have been nine sets of presidential debates, Gallup pointed out. (Lyndon Johnson (Lyndon Johnson) the President refused to debate in 1964, Richard Nixon followed in 1968 and 1972). In the nine political cycle only two do the candidates debate who come from behind to win before.
The two men in the past 60 years may be the most famous close to the election. In 1960, the vice President Richard Nixon rose 1%, he met with senator John F Kennedy's first TV debate on September 26,. Mr. Nixon's fourth debate in late October, four points behind. Senator Kennedy
Finally, Kennedy won the people to vote in 1960 increased by 0.2%.
In 2000, the vice President al gore and George w. bush 8%, right, before they first debate in October, according to Gallup record. After the occurrence of the event of the first three days, Gallup survey shows that in the game tied.
Al gore back a little next time before the debate, only dropped again. The same pattern at the third debate. Finally, the bush in the election is popular so close, in essence, decided by the Supreme Court ruling.
"Debate is unlikely catalyst event, in the years of candidates is a powerful leader, including 1984, 1988 and 1996, Gallup analysts wrote:" Lydia · saad.
The reason for this reason is obvious, according to George Washington university associate professor of political science John edge. Presidential candidate is often quite close ability, prepare and political experience. After a series of debates, also is not able to dominant so thoroughly,, pending or it's the swing voters who will make judgment they may superior President.
Even if the vote during the debate moving, also can be difficult to determine whether the cause of the movement of the debate itself, or other activities, such as the overseas crisis or the result of economic problems.
"What kind of history can tell us is, the President debates, and how to play the part of the game, and there are few what decide the game itself wrote:" sir, the two sides in the debate in Washington on the issue of an article.
But, "few" different "never". It is possible, 2012 May be a stranger in this historical data set.
First of all, the election is close. This is close enough to the, make the stray much may send enough voters to escape from the others. The media environment debate is different. Twitter on promoting political news cycle than ever faster, more fierce, this means that any appreciable winners or losers can find their gains or losses huge media hype exaggerated.
Don't you think so? We have a word to describe you: "oh." This is the Texas governor rick perry said, when he gropes for the republican party in the main debate answer, if you still remember, this is true, this is not a general election debate, but if any this cycle, a moment seal candidate's fate is so. , perry governor has never recovered.



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