In Iran's presidential election this year began to warning. In the holy city of qom visit in the middle of January, the supreme leader ayatollah ali khamenei said, crowded crowd, internal and external enemies tried to sabotage the vote.
"Who can provide general advisory election - this may be out of pity - election should be this or that, should be careful not to further the enemy target," Mr Khamenei said.
"They should be careful, don't make people lose confidence in the election, they should not be kept saying, should be free elections. Obviously, should be a free election.
The warning and then through a series of rare public trap and implementation in Iran around the city. In late January, more than a dozen journalists were arrested, part of the suspected to undermine the stability of the network.
"Beatings, arrests, and severe punishment, and have been passed down all of the election, saying:" Roozbeh Mirebrahimi headquartered in New York, Iranian analysts. "The system, and the other is expected to a crisis, they have cracked the influence of early reduce."
Iranians vote for President in 2009, the last time, led to massive street protests, put down force during the most turbulent period, 34, islamic republic of Iran have seen civil unrest dispute mahmoud ahmadinejad re-election.
Ahmadinejad's reformist rival Mirhossein musa peacekeeping efforts toward national reconciliation · karroubi is supporters took to the streets in their so-called "green movement". Dozens of people were killed and thousands of people were arrested.
This time, the authorities are expected to be no chance. Moussa peacekeeping karroubi is had been under house arrest for two years, no candidate to take their reformist banner.
Voters will most likely to provide a digital loyal to Mr Khamenei SLATE, no independent power base, may aggravate social differentiation.
"Mr Khamenei hope the next President is he can control, said:" the auspicious hala efforts toward national reconciliation in Washington, a senior fellow at the institute of policy. "He wants to people who have no personal support."
Since the last election, ordinary iranians life becomes more difficult, the economy by international sanctions. Basic food and fuel prices have been cut subsidies, and Iran's income, and make the most of oil exports plunged.
Last week, hundreds of farmers in the central Isfahan province and security forces, because the government decided to conflict from their area water transfer. Conflict shows that economic discontent can quickly upgrade for violence family try to solve their financial difficulties.
However, the election is unlikely to derail. Mahmoud ahmadinejad again after the operation, the two consecutive banned, and his successor may choose among them a few top politicians are mostly to ayatollah ali khamenei's loyalty.
LONG LIVE SPRING
Outgoing President should follow him, has his own ideas. Although mahmoud ahmadinejad controversial election in 2009, the supreme leader ayatollah ali khamenei support, they soon fell out as supreme leader tried to put his direct line of descent, the senior government position.
Tough opponents have accused ahmadinejad "excess current" consultant of seeking to undermine the role of clergy in grip.
His Allies dismissed officials position and others was put into prison. September is being held in a close, mahmoud ahmadinejad, assistant, ali akbar er · Javanfekr published question mandatory endshield, islamic dress for women.
In February, another mahmoud ahmadinejad ally, the former chief prosecutor said Tehran, Mortazavi, was arrested on corruption charges. He was released a day and a half time in the past, but, arrest seems to be a news, the President and his Allies. Mortazavi also faces prison demonstrators death criminal charges, the election of 2009.
In almost every recent public functions, mahmoud ahmadinejad said: "long live the spring", a mysterious phrase, a lot of people read a requirement for political change. It is considered to be indirect express support he promising candidate to replace him, his senior consultant ace all LaXiM Mashaie mahmoud ahmadinejad son married, his daughter.
Mahmoud ahmadinejad opponents accuse Mashaie trying to destroy the power of the clergy, but the President is trying to through the review process, vote on his name.
The highest LingXiuXiang, powerful and the elite revolutionary guards, ahmadinejad cautious attitude that is difficult to put up with his efforts, the influence to vote.
Thin by concealing two weeks ago in public opinion a piece of "Sobhe SaDiKe," revolutionary guard newspaper, it is suggested that the election of the lead, ahmadinejad may cause trouble.
"These groups won't have a chance to win the election, and through a chaotic environment for their success, there is a agenda, manufacturing turmoil" the article said, not to mention the name of mahmoud ahmadinejad, but quoted his new habits phrases.
"Slogan, such as" long live ", this is the "long live one person" spring use is an example, provocative words."
against
No matter ahmadinejad successfully obtain their votes candidate, he is using his last few months power failure his rival candidate.
Parliament speaker, the former nuclear negotiator ali larijani, mahmoud ahmadinejad's opponent in his first election in 2005, is one of the most like this, but ahmadinejad may have more than his opportunity.
Last month, ahmadinejad denounced ali larijani brother Fazel corruption, in a noisy council meeting, the first of the islamic republic created a storm in a teacup. Ali larijani back insults and accused his a swing. Two people go defiled and bruises.
", "said ali larijani chance is very high this year was elected President in Washington institute of auspicious hara. "Now, this incident, his image has been damaged.
However, ali larijani is such a canny political operation, it will be too early to his writing. His brother SaDiKe is ali larijani family is regarded as a political royalty: he is not only responsible for the legislative, judicial orgnaization controller.
Ali larijani also served as Iran -
 



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