Cameron delay in Europe, because deliveries in Amsterdam a landmark speech on last Friday, because in Algeria hostage crisis, but he has revealed his plan of the core, to try to change the relationship between London with the eu.
Extract non-delivery his issued by the office of the talk show that he plans to say Britain will "drift" to export, unless the eu reform itself. It sounds let person couplet remember Britain in the 1930 s the headlines in the newspaper: "fog channel, the mainland cut off".
Extract and no mention of the referendum, Cameron has said he will be in the next 10 years, talks, "European" new solution.
His strategy is inevitable to open a long time of uncertainty of events can put his preferred solution - a relaxed edition all British members - can't reach.
First of all, all of England's 26 partners must be willing to negotiate, Cameron agenda, though there is some express goodwill, this is not a given. The eurozone countries may be more willing to continue to promote closer integration, not to open the eu treaty, or refuse to solve the past agreement.
Secondly, they have the confidence in the prime minister's ability, won the national vote, and in the long term to prove significant concession agreement bar. But, many European officials don't believe Cameron leadership of the conservative party will win the 2015 election. Have power to give him more than polite sympathy, until then.
Third, the eu partners will be able to win their voters or the consent of the congress, the desalination European society and employment rights and London eu financial services legislation on the lock, may involve any special treatment.
Many people worry that a order, Europe will lead to other countries require select exit.
Finally, the whole process must be carried out in the kind of unpredictable conflicts, political accident or media panic, for decades has been plagued by the relationship between London and the European Union.
Irrational gambler, on all those stars are aligned. Although Cameron announced the plan to keep in Europe and Britain, and you don't have to be an astrologer to see this is how to divorce.
Britain has to negotiate the terms, because it has joined the European Union in 1973 two times, but it is still a reluctant, half independence, often members of the obstruction.
Prime minister Harold Wilson won some cosmetics trade concessions stay, Margaret thatcher won the big, permanent annual return in London in 1984 to the eu budget contribution, it is still a source, this day with many partners, is 1975 years passed a referendum.
Despite the from the European single currency and schengen area passport to travel freely choose to quit, has put the British public and conservative politicians to the European Union than ever worse, many British media called a vicious describe, intervene in foreign bureaucracy.
The construction of the single market in Europe in the 1980 s and 1990 s of the European security and defence policy launch, besides a couple short-lived honeymoon relations have difficulties.
It is hard to remember that 15 years ago, British prime minister Tony Blair publicly announced that he is going to lead the British euro as long as economic conditions are correct.
For most of the time, the British government has played tooth and nail to "close alliance", in the eu treaty "the specified objectives, since 1957, to stop or slow down.
It is no wonder that, even though its leaders public commitment to keep Britain's support, many European officials and diplomats in private don't know, if the European Union will not more unity, more free propulsion, if the British can manage.
A French officials said: "there is a kind of feeling, this is the best possible use in the future between the government of the eu treaty conference organization reform in Britain exit," said an anonymous because he expressed personal point of view.
Before the European commission President Jacques DE rolle's, often conflict occurs, and Margaret thatcher, public advice, Britain should break away from the union, and provide different forms of partnership "based on the European economic area.
According to official statistics, not the government take this line. But imagine, some may intervene, in order to change the rules of the game events.
If that completely withdraw, British independents who "lean" win the next year's British or outpoll Cameron leadership of the conservative party of the European parliament elections, despite his renegotiate and referendum commitment?
This may be forced the prime minister to impact high request sent from Brussels power against the protest voters in the 2015 presidential election to come back. It also weaken the eu partners belief that any concession is enough to ensure that in a British "yes" ticket.
Scotland, if mixed opinion polls, vote, left England's referendum, next year will where, leave more Eurosceptical English?
Scotland first minister Alex Salmond said, Scotland will want to stay in the European Union, but Brussels lawyer said, a division of the Edinburgh will likely start from scratch, negotiate terms for members, and win the consistent approval to join.
Other factors may intervene to complex negotiations.
In 1996 caused disputes, mad cow disease in London and its partners between the crisis, and Britain boycott the eu enterprises to beef export ban to the mainland months of anger.
Now, Britain may conflict with Brussels eurozone countries seek more strict financial supervision.
Another serious risk is in Britain and the European Union member clause changes, public expectations unrealistic high growth, Cameron is able to negotiate a deal was dismissed the Eurosceptical politicians and media false or a joke.
Even without the mines are detonated, there are still a lot of possibility in the generation of the first choice, voters voted "no", the choice to do so.
A referendum in France, the Netherlands and Irish experience shows that voters can cast protest votes against unpopular government, or just expressed a general look not pleasing to the eye of Europe, whatever their questions.



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