Foreign Ministers' Meeting of ASEAN Regional Forum series on the 9th to the 13th, held in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, Philippines and Vietnam mess focus strongly should the South China Sea issue. U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton not only participants, but these days continuous access to the three ASEAN countries, she does not actually guide the ASEAN countries and the possibility of friction is considered "small".
 
This sovereignty dispute in the South China Sea is China's disputes with the Philippines and Vietnam, one-on-one, the Philippines and Vietnam have to make things "internationalization" and "ASEAN" of the overall fit in easily with U.S. strategic interests, it now appears, the situation was moving in in this direction.
 
The Chinese do not need to stress, "one on one" failed to bring China stands for the victory of those countries to a compact, form not the Philippines and Vietnam advocates the legitimacy. ASEAN's role can only be advised and led with the delimitation of the relevant transaction, totally incredible. If the rational is always the upper hand in the ASEAN, it must not access this live in accordance with the requirements of the Philippines and Vietnam.
 
China is very restrained in a dispute with the Philippines and Vietnam, otherwise it is not such a situation today. Between the two countries would like to take external forces so that the "restraint", belonging to the political extreme naive. Chinese public opinion has been against the common enemy of the South China Sea status quo, the Philippines and Vietnam have any provocation, the face is actually not the Chinese government, but directly to the anger of the Chinese public opinion on the hit.
 
After the Philippines, and Vietnam recently the toss and the United States and other extra-territorial country to muddy the waters, the South China Sea disputes actually opened a lid, the external interests of the volumes to come. If this trend continues, the South China Sea will further complicate, who benefit from them who will suffer is hard
to say.
 
For China, the Philippines and Vietnam things to engage in much, we constitute a strategic threat. The cost in China is something "more complex" will involve some effort.
 
If ASEAN is deeply involved in the South China Sea disputes, making it "the largest business and geopolitical role in the organization will occur transmutation. ASEAN is clearly not doing this preparation, and its member countries this is far from reaching agreement.
 
With the enhancement of China's strength, the triangular relationship in the United States, China and ASEAN have been impossible to during the Cold War "against China," the direction to turn the clock back. Strength of the individual and perhaps this desire, but it is a serious conflict between China and the United States, ASEAN need to "seek balance" of interests, and thereby become the policy.
 
The Philippines and Vietnam, now a part of Scrapped, they get things to the ASEAN meeting to say, can not solve any practical problems. They are up to some psychological harvest, get some temporary relief in the face of them no chance of winning the conflict.
 
Things to the international occasions, does not make the Philippines and Vietnam invaded and occupied China reefs really into them, will not ensure that future bilateral wanton provocation no longer was resolute counter. The two countries should be clear, the territorial disputes involving large country none is solved through international forces pull handedness.
 
Vietnam and the Philippines should be honest, first of all do not self-deception. China may be how some of the pressure of international opinion on the territorial issue, a big step backward it? How extraterritorial large country may request, in order to achieve the territory of the Philippines and Vietnam at the expense of their own national interests in order, and China all-out confrontation in the South China Sea?
 
From the current situation, the South China Sea issue is currently no solution, within all countries should have the patience, should not be fantasy "absolute victory". When China still has patience, the Philippines and Vietnam but to make things push to upgrade and sharp confrontation, it can only be said, is no strategic sense of the political-led Manila and Hanoi.



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