China If you are using increasingly modern and powerful armed forces, you can easily control the South China Sea disputed areas. Compared with China, the Philippines armed forces is negligible far from the opponent. However, even with the Philippine confrontation more than two months, China is still careful not to use conventional armed to resolve disputes Huangyan Island.
 
Beijing decided not to send a warship, for several reasons. The Philippines is a U.S. ally, China can not be sure if the People's Liberation Army is directly involved in the conflict and control of the disputed waters, whether the United States will not interfere.
 
In recent years, China on the issue of disputed islands in the South China Sea and East China Sea and sea borders, to take increasingly confident actions. This led to concerns of its neighbors and alienate China wants to see these countries in conjunction with the United States against China.
 
This gives Beijing a small foreign policy management issues. At present, China is preparing the leadership of the general. In this sensitive time, coupled with the economic slowdown, China needs a stable surrounding environment. Therefore, Beijing decided not to use "hard power". On the contrary, it is the use of soft quasi-military forces, as well as diplomatic and economic means to put pressure on the Philippines.
China's paramilitary fleet growing, some of which is equipped with light weapons, not weapons. The future, China may still be inclined to use these vessels to expand its influence and to maintain its claim to sovereignty over the South China Sea, approximately 80% of the waters, and other forms of jurisdiction.
 
In fact, a total of nine marine institutions belonging to different departments. They are more and more involved in the disputed waters, thus sometimes referred to as "Kowloon downtown sea. The five institutions of the negotiations with Japan is one of the largest, most active, and the Chinese fishery and maritime surveillance in the South China Sea and East China Sea in recent months the most high-profile.
 
Earlier this month, a senior official of China's maritime surveillance, 2020, the number of China's ocean surveillance ship more than 520, almost twice the size of the current personnel from 9000 to 15000. The person in charge of Chinese maritime surveillance Corps a few years ago to imply, maritime surveillance will act as proxy forces of the Navy. International Crisis Group said in a report in April this year, "Kowloon" race to expand and to fight for more budget to stimulate the South China Sea tensions, they increase the difficulty to solve the problem.
 
However, this paramilitary policy risk: If you need reinforcements, China's conventional armed forces will intervene, which could lead to armed conflict and other Southeast Asian sound cable, Chinese and foreign analysts have warned that China absence of centralized control more severe, despite competing with each other maritime law enforcement agencies to continue the rapid expansion, it is possible to bring such danger.
 
China's Huangyan Island is currently the practice in the Japanese media, do not use the conventional armed to solve the Huangyan Island dispute the reasons for "induction" has become the points:
 
1, the Philippines is a U.S. ally, People's Liberation Army directly involved in the conflict the United States will intervene?
 
I believe that, whether the U.S. intervention, and indeed should be as China should be one of the factors to consider too. Because China is not willing to direct conflict, if the two big countries in conflict, will give both sides a great deal of harm and danger. Americans must also see that, therefore, the Sino-US high-level, presumably will not rashly war for disputes in China and the Philippines.
 
But this factor, although there will be formation of China a number of constraints, but, if the Philippines took the opportunity to China to take exercise to fight provocation, including measures such as to send warships to the waters of the Huangyan Island, to my law enforcement official boat, fishing boats, harassment or force action does not rule out that China will use non-peaceful means to be resolved. In this case, presumably the United States there is no excuse to interfere. The United States will not let the provocation of the Philippines, developed to the point where the Chinese use of force? United States may restrict the behavior of the Philippines, will try to avoid the risk of direct conflict with China.
 
2, China needs a stable surrounding environment. Instead of using "hard power"
 
This argument does make sense, because, in order to develop their own economy in the current world economic crisis environment, in the case of neighboring countries, containment, do not want these countries to join forces with the United States against China. Therefore, maintaining a peaceful environment surrounding China, but also make every effort to do things. China can only have more energy, internal and external stability for economic development. Therefore, do not rush to use the "hard power"
is a wise move.
 
But do not rush to use "does not mean do not use, because, in order to safeguard sovereignty, when the" hostile forces "pushed" intolerable "circumstances, the hand will be shot.
 
"Kowloon" in stimulate the South China Sea tensions
 
This argument is nonsense, because, nine marine institutions in China, and some is not law enforcement agencies, but a number of ocean-related research, investigative bodies.
 
The tensions of the South China Sea is China's neighboring countries to violate China's sovereignty, and accused the Chinese enforcement vessels to stimulate the South China Sea "tense situation" is putting the cart before the horse's nonsensical.
 
China has five maritime law enforcement agencies, five are: China Public Security Border Defense marine police force attached to the Ministry of Public Security, China Maritime Safety Administration of the Ministry of Transportation, the Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries Administration Bureau, Ministry of Land and Resources, State Oceanic Administration and the General Administration of Customs.
 
Japanese media said that "if Japan or any of a neighboring country on any one of 'Wulong' hastily put on a combative attitude, would provide China with the opportunity of an advantage of the situation." This view shows the Japanese think China currently do not have armed forces to interfere in China's neighboring waters dispute to the rights of way to use administrative means of enforcement is a "strategy", this view, there may be a grain of truth.
 
Recently China's maritime surveillance, fishery for the maintenance of sovereignty, escort vessels to ease the tensions of the South China Sea, and indeed played an important role.
 
Some people think that China's marine law enforcement agencies, power is more dispersed, and whether it should be integrated? However, this thing about it is difficult to solve, because in China, the range of "power" of the various departments, who do not want to be lost. Therefore, the current talk about "the power of integration, it seems too early.
 
In short, whether China's iron fist, "wearing a velvet glove, remove the gloves" when each view. However, those who continue to provoke China unfriendly countries do to force China take off the velvet gloves, because no velvet glove, iron fist shot, hit the body is hurt!



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