Complete sets of the "global vision" July 2, 2012
 
Open closed seasons to make joint military exercises, the Philippine action still
 
Moderator labor Chunyan:
 
Good evening, welcome to the "global vision" is being broadcast live, labor Chunyan.
 
In May, China and the Philippines have issued a fishing ban, but recent media reports that the Philippine government will be canceled on July 15 set in May, the so-called "closed seasons to make the Huangyan Island. Today the Philippines and the United States held a week-long joint military exercises at sea, and also today, a visit to Tokyo, the Philippine Secretary of Defense and Japanese Defense Minister signed a defense cooperation memorandum. Why the Philippines will break the practice of the early half the time to end the so-called "fishing moratorium Order, how to look at the Philippines the past few days a series of actions?
 
On this topic, the studio brought in the Central Party School, the International Institute for Strategic Studies, Professor Gao Zugui one to participate in the discussion. Professor Gao's a problem we must first ask, from the Office of the President of the Philippines, closed fishing order to expire on July 15, but we also noticed that, also in accordance with Philippine officials say the fishing moratorium order before there is However, in accordance with the practice, then, in general, to August 1 until the end of this time for the Huangyan Island released the so-called "fishing moratorium order", why early end of the half the time?
 
Being Commentary: Philippines to break the practice in advance to cancel the fishing ban order
 
Expert view: the Philippines may be taken "before China after the soldiers' strategy to advance the Huangyan Island
Expert view: the two sides increased risk of friction
Your emperor Central Party School Professor, International Institute for Strategic Studies:
 
After the so-called "fishing moratorium order" is out, we announced our "Fishing Moratorium Order, immediately engage in a fishing ban, the fishing ban order is actually down the steps, and then in the Philippines between the Huangyan Island of events began to ease the situation, now moratorium to make you want to cancel, in fact, different technical level, it is clear typhoon also no past, if the location of certain fish species can not salvage, is not completely stopped. In accordance with the natural conditions, it is now not suitable for re-start the recovery fishing to do so now, only from another dimension to interpret the use of political considerations, initially announced that followed China's fishing ban, to engage in a fishing ban is a political considerations ahead of recovery probably also political considerations, from my observation, more a pre-emptive as strong comeback Board before a contest, the contest in the past that a inside the Philippines, Chinese fishermen fishing there when their warships out harassment, seizure of our fishermen, triggering a dispute, a dispute practices that disadvantage, resulting in a very passive, since it has warships to stop the detained fishermen had violated our sovereignty, which is caused to the Philippines' own handling very passive. It is this approach lessons before the lesson, the Philippine military has been said, you fishermen, the Coast Guard and Navy to do a good job corresponding to protect fishermen in front, before the people to force such a moves. If, as they say, if implemented, could lead to the next step in the Philippines and friction will intensify conflicts between the fishermen and the fishermen of the surrounding waters of the Huangyan Island, until now, in fact, fishermen resumption of fishing, or where further fishing exacerbated by the fish, then the friction between the fishermen and fishermen, as well as before our sea monitoring to protect our fishermen normal, reasonable and lawful actions there, take to defend their rights, that rights may be friction between the forces of might rights, this risk of friction and coefficients will be greatly enhanced.
Comments are: Philippine Navy still want to escort the situation will upgrade
 
Expert view: the Philippines consider themselves partners in the Democrats support to
 
Labor Chunyan:
 
First take a look at the position of Foreign Ministry spokesman Liu Weimin, he said, Huangyan Island is Chinese territory, and there is no controversy, and hope that the Philippine side will not repeatedly published to stimulate public opinion, of speech, to avoid complicate the situation. Just now you said the Philippines may be the strategy adopted is to "ancestors soldiers," to encourage the fishermen to return to the waters of the Huangyan Island fishing, on the other hand, the Philippine military has made it clear, they will fishermen in the Philippines to escort, protect them, return to the Huangyan Island waters to fishing, which means that the situation in the region will upgrade it? or typhoon seasons later, the two sides to this place to catch fish is not the storms happen?
 
Emperor:
 
Natural typhoon weakened may drift with the seasons, but the political turmoil may result from, from the Philippines in terms of the past period of time to ease the situation, but did not return to the past, the water temperature was 90 can not go back to 0 degrees, may return to 70,80 degrees, from now, the Philippines may be considered more favorable to the country to have such a high tone, from the diplomatic point of view, from the domestic to the rise in this place in the South China Sea strategic interests, or energy resource development interests that will not give up, it will further go forward. Diplomatic, a look at that game after this one, it seems that the favorable factors in the development. Before he appealed to ASEAN countries and its so-called diplomatic, political, rely on ASEAN, ASEAN no one echoes, and now Vietnam echoes, Vietnam has taken a series of actions, Vietnam in this respect between China and is also taking step by step tight measures, he felt to have a companion to do, he does not feel alone, with the strength. Say an American, even though the United States we have seen, this time in the past has always been clear, said Philippine territorial dispute which does not choose sides, and clear expression of that voice, the Secretary of Defense to the Shangri-La Dialogue Secretary of Defense on several occasions has made it clear this, and other leaders also spoke, but the Philippines may be interpreted as, as long as the Americans do not explicitly do not support the position of the Philippines in the South China Sea issue and he can use the space, as long as the United States to strengthen its security cooperation.
Before Aquino's visit to the United States in the field of security cooperation, the two sides also reached an agreement, the United States, although rarely, the Philippines themselves feel bad, $ 30 million in military aid, which is also a gesture. And the next step the United States to the Philippines to provide the marine monitoring equipment, such equipment in the Philippines, it seems this is the support for it. With this thing, diplomacy as a backing or cheer, coupled with some of its allies over a period of time, the Philippines and Singapore, Australia and other countries have to talk about cooperation, such cooperation has not been rejected, the Philippines think diplomatic is strong, a further capital to move forward.
 
Are reviewing: Philippine attempting to use the US-Philippine military exercises to pass what information?
 
Labor Chunyan:
 
You just said that the U.S. backing for the Philippines, or the US-Philippine military cooperation in the Philippines opinion, that is, the United States faces and encouragement and backing, have a particularly good example, starting today, between the United States and the Philippines "Karat" exercise today has been carried to the 10th place of Mindanao, near the sea, that is in a southern Philippines, there are eleven distance from the Huangyan Island, the exercise appeared in both sides Winter Swimming among the staff, not just the Navy, as well as the Coast Guard in front of us reporters also mentioned in connection point, In general, engage Karat exercise only the Navy to participate, but this year the Philippines sent dozens of Coast Guard officers and men to participate from that point on we can see that what?
 
Emperor:
 
If you joined the Coast Guard, we can interpret for him to play down the military cooperation, more cooperation in maritime security, so the Coast Guard added, but this cooperation, from this time, the Philippines may think that three months three times in a row within the US-Philippine military air exercises, he will be greatly encouraged, but from the details, this time between the US-Philippine participate, unlike last time not only the US-Philippine, Japan, Australia, Singapore in many countries to participate in the inside, from the scale and intensity, has been greatly reduced. From this point of view, the political means that a very strong, although the United States say the election station and do not want this situation, actions that may intensify the action of the developments, whether it is the force of provocation or threat of force have said so, against. But such an action, he may still be making the anti-sea-storm, we mentioned earlier, the hurricane passed, the safety of the storm will continue to set off, although the waves will not be so high, this high point of Philippine-US needs. From the Philippines, you need a humidity of tensions, there are an action, before they can do, seek the cooperation of relevant countries, including Japan to provide patrol boats, and other assistance may continue. From the United States, though it does not choose sides, but the U.S. also hopes this matter to maintain an appropriate temperature, only a moderate temperature, and further through joint military exercises, or by rotation of the existence or through various forms, in this region to expand and maintain a military presence in the grounds only, and this reason will be the next United States by the end of the United States to advocate to join the Convention on the Law of the Sea to take relatively good atmosphere, the United States is clearly the need for such a practice. But as we see, the United States is now very limits, because it is reluctant to let this situation affect China and the United States just emerging trend of better military cooperation, which is Panetta whenever further and the Philippines, Vietnam, India cooperation, he has repeatedly said that Sino-US military relations are in development, and this momentum can not stop.



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