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Breakdown or Breakthrough?

No one wants to the nuclear talks in Wednesday's breakthrough in Baghdad, but most is don't want to happen, fault, either. In fact, prediction, Iran's P5 + 1 (the United States, Britain, France, Germany, Russia and China) will be engaged in concrete, mutual confidence building measures of the more detailed proposals, and one day a new round of end adjourned in several weeks of talks. But, in what may be the edge of the movement in the war, or of the imminent crisis sign, Iranian officials refused to offer from western powers. "The agreement points are not enough another round," an unnamed Iranian officials in the talks told AFP reporter.
Iran's official media, in the last few weeks of talks to feel optimistic spin has many analysts concluded that Iran ready to trade public criticism of its so-called "outdated" and "unbalanced" proposal, the western powers in Baghdad. Iran insists, Thursday will see a held talks in Baghdad of the second day, parties remain locked in negotiations until midnight. Looks like a tactics, to create a mini the crux of the crisis in talks: whether Iran will be awarded to upgrade the western sanctions any relief, if the consent of the P5 + 1 to demand the immediate steps to establish trust.
(: why Iran may be ready to talk about)
The start of the litigation P5 + 1 outline the suggestion, Iran will be asked to:
? suspend its uranium enrichment purity of 20% (on the surface, in order to promote medical research reactor, although Iran has been established for more than ten years of fuel), greatly reducing the time span for reprocessing into weapons grade of the material needs
, shipping storage
? 20% of the materials converted into relatively harmless fuel rods close Fordow uranium enrichment facilities, KuM nearby, and the international atomic energy agency under the supervision of the embedded in the hillside is deep, it may be outside the scope of the Israeli air force
In exchange, Iran will provide:
Medical research reactor fuel rods, and help construction, the new
In Iran's nuclear facilities, the safety standard, in raising aid
? an end to Iran's offer is badly in need of civil airliner fleet of decay of the embargo.
5 + 1 also puts forward to stop further efforts to strengthen the United Nations sanctions
Perhaps not surprisingly, iranians did not budge. Close to the talks Iranian officials told the "Christian science monitor report said Iran is willing to compromise, the 20% of concentration, it will do, only in mutual equal cuts process. Research reactor, Iran has created his own fuel, therefore, the United Nations sanctions are the smallest importance. Further measures may be through Russia and China against-it is the Banks and energy exports, pay attention to Tehran to western unilateral sanctions. Iran's people complain that, they were asked to make 20% of the enrichment and Fordow western concessions to the important, but in exchange received any they think particularly important. According to the report, Iran's chief negotiator of give P5 + 1 demonstration draft made clear when says Iran hope alleviate or suspend some sanctions, especially because in July, the effect of the oil embargo to prevent the concentration of the price 20%. Given the history of confrontation, it could not have said Tehran would bring in the trade sanctions cause most pain without relief. But western powers insist they not about trade in this phase of their main lever.
(more: five Obama President and the Iranian nuclear negotiation skills)
U.S. officials told the Washington post, can only take these steps once Iran to comply with the UN security council resolutions, this will mean to suspend all uranium enrichment. Tehran, this is not a start. Iran insists its uranium enrichment to 3.5%, is their rights as a nuclear non-proliferation treaty--provoking a signatory to keep, through the escalating pressure six years of position, they won't back down. Iran talks in Baghdad the processing show, it has a different reading balance of power, is the signal drop before the new round of talks, the other party provides more ground. "We think that both parties must agree to in common is worth of a new round of negotiations," explained AFP Iran source. In his view, the "western political parties at any cost to continue negotiations, this is not our position."
(more: Iran's nuclear concessions?)
Although there is no doubt that sanctions against Iran's economy and its damage power to put pressure on, to reduce transaction, the leadership in Tehran may also be expected of the west economic and diplomatic pressure rise. As the U.S. and Europe on the edge of a recession-and European intractable financial crisis by policymakers think mainland within the scope of the problems with Iran-emergency inflaming tensions, and the resulting oil prices rise to the pressure could exacerbate the western economic difficulties. (global oil prices up to nine months last Wednesday, it is low, because the negotiations between the parties, the risk of reduce confrontation.) Iran analysts walid, kenaz pointed out, earlier this week, "to face the Iran may no longer be the priority in Europe in the region face serious financial problems."
Russia and China would like to go to the P5 + 1 process has made Iran watch the key to success. But Moscow and Beijing had suspected that the United States and Europe to take unilateral sanctions strategy, and Russia and China will tend to soften in dealing with Iran's specific measures, to ensure that the international community sanctions. "Iran need to international society step of the way, the international community should take steps to root for a resolution imposing sanctions on Iran, Russia's foreign minister sergei lavrov said Russia on Wednesday quoted media said." This may help explain why the P5 plus 1, Iran provide position on.
In fact, Iran's media coverage of the P5 plus 1 "into" the proposal Wednesday, saying that in fact, some delegation of Iran provide people have different opinions. Day (Thursday) of negotiations, may find that maintain the process methods, because this is a common goal. And their work, often is looking for hide concessions, so that both parties can win approach. The next key deadline is July 1, when Europe on Iran's oil export embargo is due to take effect. The news of Tehran on Wednesday appear, because it will withdraw its offer to 20% enrichment cooperation, if economic control was increased, even when they do so. This is a faction in the west, some people might be willing to test the proposition, but it will keep the P5 plus 1 is unified, if Iran's suggested response was, "yes, but remains to be seen."




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