On sale second-hand housing inventories have 135 thousand set to expand the backlog of digestive 15 months
In the new commodity house inventories attaining record highs at the same time, the inventory of secondhand the room also constantly on the rise. This led to the area of the houses in the source of accumulation, appear slow-moving phenomenon, the owner face up price.
Due to the influence of the loan limit this year, after the regulation, and the demands of new houses are has declined. According to real estate data that shows the chain home, at present monthly incremental about new homes in the 15000 to 20000 pieces, compared with last year about 15% decline. And now in the first three quarters, Beijing 93928 sets of nets sign secondhand the room only 65% of the deal last year, a drop of 35%. That is, when compared to the houses down a listing on the speed, the digestion of the houses are slower 130%.
Secondhand the room had about 135000 sets of houses in the source
Need to digest 15 months
"Chain family estate" according to their own houses in library houses source real calculation, the current sold in the city housing up to 135000 sets of source about. In accordance with the current standard of 8500 sets of digestion rate to see, not to increase in the future of new houses, about 15 months to complete digestion.
"Chain family estate" chief analysts a monthly pointed out that this year after regulation, secondhand the room to clinch a deal the long cycle a month or so, and slow digestion market, in addition to the demand to reduce apparent, cause secondhand the room in the housing inventory increase source. Consumers watching the current in the short term it is difficult to have obvious change, and according to the new situation and expand the incremental clinch a deal to see, by the end of this year, secondhand the room in the sellers will reach 140000 to 150000 source of or so, can increase the source of sellers will lead to further increase the difficulty of future secondhand the room sale, until the end of the year by the houses in the source and low long-term accumulated market clinch a deal influence, clinch a deal the cycle will probably continue to spin, sales pressure increased.
Tongzhou, daxing area sales had great pressure
At the end of the year will continue to reduce the price
The reporter interviewed by several real estate agency company understands, at present for two months after that still can't deal homes can count as slow-moving suite.
According to "chain family estate" market research statistics, secondhand the room can be concentrated area mainly bca source for chaoyang, haidian, fengtai district, especially the poor of chaoyang district homes than is about 30%, the three areas has been a traditional hot spots, in addition, changping and daxing, xicheng district (including xuanwu district), such as the poor area of tongzhou homes accounted for more than relatively high.
In spite of the current DuoGe areas to sales pressure, but in the future sales difficulty and owners of psychological pressure on look, the problem is the main is facing a suburban tongzhou, daxing district. The main reason to have the following aspects: first, chaoyang, haidian was for secondhand the room to clinch a deal the main area, expand the potential digestive ability strong housing. And the position of tongzhou daxing and advantages are not obvious, so difficult to digest. Second, the haidian, xicheng such regional even hard to sell houses, owners still have other way to avoid risk, such as resell for rent, and tongzhou, daxing rental market rent is difficult, and rental income is low, it is difficult to be an effective way to circumvent the reduction of risk.
"Chain family estate" chief analysts said a monthly, daxing and tongzhou district at present the inventory of bridal chamber respectively for 12764 sets, 18637 sets, second only to the bridal chamber, chaoyang district inventory. Compared with the bridal chamber, the two regions of the secondhand the room advantage is not outstanding, so its sales pressure will be more apparent. At present the two regional housing prices in 14000-16000 yuan about/square metre, in regulation, volatility fell about 5%, with sales are expected to increase of stress, the two area will be significantly cut prices reflect, and price under the action of linkage will also affect regional new house prices were low.
Bridal chamber, secondhand room had both face pressure inventory
In the future or overall decline
And the new home market is different, the flexibility of the secondhand the room is higher, the owner have a two suites, don't try so hard to cash in, can choose the suspension of the transfer or lease sales pressure. "Chain family estate" chief analysts a monthly think, although the future may have part owner exit trading market, but secondhand the room whole sales pressure difficult change in the short term, especially for the owner to sell intend to higher.
First of all, expand the fast digestion market environment ceased to exist. The current inventory pressure and the 2008 years of market similar, but there are very different. In 2008, sales pressure for about half a year's time only, and then began to return to clinch a deal, 2009 years to achieve breakthrough rise, rapidly digested the expand the market. This year, the control policy in the short term signs don't relax, houses can rapidly digested market environment has ceased to exist.
Secondly, the market in the short term to thaw, clinch a deal will be maintaining low. The owner hope at the end of the year or early next year to have surged to clinch a deal almost impossible, inventory the stress of the situation to continue until at least next year. The owner of the sale, it builds up over time, sales pressure will increase gradually, the owner of the price pressure has also increased.
"Chain family estate" chief analysts a monthly think, not only is secondhand room, bridal chamber also face the pressure of digestive inventory, and, as the market is going cold, developers are under the capital and other problems, sales pressure is greater than the more housing. For to sell part of housing for the owner to high, its sales prices pressure is clearly.




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