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Analysis: Stars align for Mideast prisoner deal

Jerusalem (ap)-Israel and the islamic resistance movement (hamas) prisoner exchange agreement between the outline of the outline of already know: Israel would free exchange of an Israeli soldier in the gaza strip hundreds of Palestinian prisoners.
But the implementation of the protocol, need a unique set of circumstances, from domestic issues both in the neighboring Egypt's revolution.
The two enemies announced almost at the same time trading day (Tuesday) over the pain of five years of sergeant Israel around saga. Gillard Schalit in across the border to attack, captive to drag in June 2006 in the gaza strip. For his return, Israel will release more than 1000 prisoners.
The deal made every request for victory.
Embattled prime minister Benjamin netanyahu of Israel brought him home, it can be said that the soldiers, and their plight has become a national obsession. Hamas, the Palestinian President mahmoud abbas in and competition, can boast of lock the most one-sided communication continuously in the area.
However, every make painful concessions, until recently may not likely.
About 300 Palestinian prisoners serving to Israel in the deadly attack was sentenced to life in prison-" hand be stained with blood "hamas achievement, because Israel refused to release those who has always been the most famous prisoner, but including a revolt leaders and bombings planning, and will remain in prison.
For netanyahu, has built for a about terrorism hardliners in his career, in all the trade, any is necessarily a bitter fruit. Some people want to Israel Schalit in some bold attacks may be freed. But still remember a poor 1994 years of effort, to release another kidnapped soldiers, Nachshon Wachsman, who were killed trying to rescue him one of the commandos.
Air force we DE, navigators in 1986 after his capture, the aircraft is Lebanon brought serious cases of piling pressure. We see DE is guerrilla alive, but soon after that, he disappeared, fueling the traces of the bitter feeling in Israel it has failed to seize opportunity and release his bargaining.
Netanyahu admit, in this case, he has no magic formula.
"I believe that we have the best deal, we can get, considering the storm in the Middle East, he said:" Schalit exchange. "I don't know if we can get a better deal, or handle all in the future,".
To some extent, his hands bound: Israel has a long history to drift away prisoners swap, make the Palestinian high expectations.
And Benjamin netanyahu urgently need a concrete achievements of the deadlock, more and more with the palestinians all over the country, the high cost of living, and Egypt, Turkey's foreign crisis social protests, and even the U.S. criticism.
Hamas is concerned, it also has been on the defensive.
Group in 2007, violently took power, which is the gaza popularity in the face of Israel's military and economic pressure continues to weaken. Bearing its headquarters, Syria, the country is facing the global condemned bloody crackdown on domestic rebellion.
All the hot rhetoric, and called for the destruction of Israel, hamas has become its rival, Mr Abbas's popularity rise suddenly feel shocked.
The Palestinian people around their President, united because he asked the United Nations security council last month recognize a Palestinian independence, ignoring Israel and America will. For many people, mahmoud abbas, the dramatic speech at the United Nations, usually 76, stubborn cordially called ABU MaZan, become a hero.
"Hamas think this is isolated and sideline abbas speech, said:" Mkhaimar Abusada, gaza strip of a prominent political scientists. "Hamas to try to catch the focus of MaZan Roman abramovich, from universal, MaZan Roman abramovich and win."
In Washington, White House press secretary jay, Obama karni said the government "report is glad that, sir Schalit will soon."
", as you know, President bush called for his release DuoCi and he is the release of the late, "karni said, he reiterated that the White House is the key to Palestine and Israel take steps toward the direct talks.
About Mr Cohen, XinBei Israel's security agencies controller tells a reporter, hamas has made two major concessions, he feel nearby July is a breakthrough.
First, it accepted the requirements of Israel, will not in any case release some prisoners. They include all the ancient carry, markov barr, who is the leader of the uprising of his role DuoGe service life in prison punishment, and the deadly attacks on Israel, who is participated in the 2001 assassination Israel's cabinet leaders jailed a faction leaders ahmed saadat and hamas bomb maker abdullah barr, who is the ancient mention service 60 was sentenced to life in prison.
Two, "Cohen said, Israel agreed to the requirements of hamas, about 250 freed prisoners were not allowed to return to them in the west bank, they may be more easy to carry out new attacks on Israeli targets of their homes.
Most of these prisoners committed will be sent to the gaza strip, this is effectively sealed from Israel, the fence, and about 40 from the region were expelled from the country. Among them MuNa Amna, who met with the teenage boys and Israel in the Internet entice him to the west bank, where he waiting for militants killed a woman.
The group's exile leader MaShaEr, admits that he hasn't completely successful. "The deal is not easy, we launched a fierce battle, this is why we s, because the enemy manipulation and delay," he said.
Lurking in the background of the negotiations is Egypt revolution and the overthrow of the long-term February President hosni mubarak.
Israel and hamas have been rushing to adapt to the new order.
Hamas may have new flexibility, in its seek good relations with its southern neighbours, but Israel is the longing for a important Arab Allies keep close relationship. Israeli leaders their way to thank for Egypt traded.
"They put the matter very seriously, and full participation in," Cohen said, Israel's security chief.
With the momentum, in its side, hamas wanted to return to the fatah movement and abbas competition the upper hand. Since hamas took control of the gaza strip




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