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Iran to Syria: Save regime and preserve alliance

Dubai, united Arab emirates (AP)-two weeks, Egyptian insurrection, hosni mubarak, to reserve huth President of Iran and Syria of Damascus party on the other side in a blunt message Arab spring: Syria regime in Tehran number can be Allies.
Seven months later-and in Syria, at least 2700 people are dead-Iran to adjust the Syrian President bashar al assad's eldest brother role. Iran's leaders are now required to consider him under the heading and several escape routes path with the demonstrators or risk of negotiations.
This is the deep love Tehran version: what do according to assad should stay power in the Middle East and maintenance Iran the most important relationship one.
XinKe, Syria in Washington policy research institute near east affairs analyst David says: "you have decades of old strategy alliance rope,". "There is no doubt that Iran is very much."
But assad seems to be trying to get through a massive uprising, has spread to security forces its own rules. Government forces launched the ruthless repression opposition demonstrators, and police and soldiers to fight.
Iran is in strange nerve the observer role in Syria-Israeli border foothold in Lebanon and Tehran support hezbollah and hamas in the gaza strip a important channel.
Syria also added to Iran to worry about their own internal opposition, has mostly dormant, because in Tunisia Arab uprising began to inspiration.
Iran will international radiation risks and send large-scale military forces, to help President assad, but it is likely that Iran, drive the its in Damascus security advisor and other legates cadre, had few opportunities. Instead, Iran's purpose is to provide a certain assad, moderate nervous, or at least attack and dialogue.
Bashar al-assad any concession, and eventually he of dictatorship in the profound reform, open way. But Iran's willingness to take over of the uncertainty of the weakened President assad Syrian a new leadership, it may be in a political deep freeze of the Alawite minority assad for Iran.
"Iran's support the Syrian government no change," said al-yazid in Tehran professor of politics at the university Bakhshayesh ahmed. "However, Iran is trying to convey information......, President assad is able to reform."
This may be a difficult sales, according to the present crackdown and international rebound.
On Thursday, Syrian troops continue in their attack in central Syria pull Stan opposition hotbed. At the United Nations, the European support suggestion is in the security council sanctions on Syria to expand urgently.
At the same time, neighboring Turkey on to Syria arms embargo, and presided over the opposition figure against President assad.
Assad has a powerful friends still in his corner, such as Russia and China. However, there may be many, they will endanger his political reputation-and the limitation of the deep business interests-between Arab the rest of the world, have largely abandoned him, Dincer, in Ankara Bahadir Ottoman at the international strategy research organization, analysts said Turkey.
Finally, Iran's the most vocal of resonance. It told President assad ironically, he can't just rely on the force and intimidation-Iran used to dismantle in 2009, after the controversial President mahmoud ahmadinejad reelection protesters formula.
Earlier this month, Mr. Ahmadinejad said, "should have talks" President assad and opposition between. "There is no military solution appropriate solution," he in Tehran for interview, told reporters in Portuguese radio Radiotelevisao Porto's case.
Later, he offered to host the islamic country, the regional meeting for the resolution of the crisis Syria.
An Iranian newspaper Shargh, reported earlier this week, about 200 famous doctors, including Iran's former health minister, the end of the letter to Mr Assad "regret" violence. President assad is an English training an eye doctor.
In an effort to break in Syria, Iran's influence have been more than 10 western policy goals. President assad has been regarded as more than his father, HaFeiZi, nearly thirty years of rule, and died in 2000 reform ideas.
In 2007, when the United States senator biden said, Washington should push hard on end Syria's "the marriage of convenience with Iran." Last year, the U.S. secretary of state Hillary Clinton has said, the U.S. ambassador to Syria ambassador appointment-five years later the cases-the hard part, "hope to influence the behavior of people" in the assad regime.
On Thursday, President assad's supporters throw tomatoes and U.S. ambassador Robert ford, and then tried to break into the office, where he served as the opposition leader, hassan, meeting ABuDuLe JiM.
Arab spring uprising can complete what diplomats have tried to fine-tune along: the new leadership to the west and moderate Arab nations redirection. The region, the reality of the new fast moving, was once praised Iran with relish, when in Tunisia and Egypt in the fall and capricious in Libya's muammar running without the tears come.
"Syria change to Iran and all of this, said:" the XinKe analyst based in Washington. "This will be a SAP assad lost."
It will also be able to shrink the Iran of the Arab world fields, such as Iraq, it has and Shiite political factions and militant group of close ties to the place, but limited rival sunni group and Baghdad and American ties.
Former senior state department officials said, burns, described the peace efforts in Syria, called on Iran to "for cynical attempt to convince the Arab people in some way, Tehran to the right of the reform is."
"If assad might even lead to drop, the reform movement in Iran, it the end of a fragile government, also say:" burns at Harvard University's Kennedy school of government, foreign and international politics professor. "In general, Iran more isolated, now than a few years ago and Arab awakening is the result of a potential regional failure."




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