Pakistani Taliban attack damaged a bloody battle, held historic elections Saturday pitting two years by the army and the power outages and inflation attributed to the current prime minister, was once exiled former cricket star.
The vote marks Pakistan's 65-year history, the first in a civilian government has completed his term of office, and the transfer of authority democratic elections. Military coup to overthrow successive governments, or dismissal of the president of the powerful military alliance.
Fatal violent attacks again on Friday, the election office in northwest Pakistan explosion killed three people and shot and killed a candidate in the southern city of Karachi. Running the vote, mostly secular party candidates and workers more than 130 people have been killed. Most attacks have been traced to Taliban militants vowed to disrupt the democratic process, they say runs counter to Islam.
The vote is being closely watched in Washington since the U.S. nuclear countries 180 million people rely on to help the fight against Islamic militants, and to negotiate the end of the war in neighboring Afghanistan.
The rise of former cricket star Imran Khan in Pakistan almost mythic status, who owns challenge the dominance of the two major political parties in the country, the election results is difficult to call.
"I think it is the most unpredictable election, Pakistan have had," Yusuf said Moeed, South Asia adviser at the U.S. Institute of Peace. "The dominance of the two parties has been broken, and now you have a real third force, to challenge these parties."
At the national and provincial assemblies elections in widespread despair when, in Pakistan, as countries suffer from weak economic growth, the rampant electricity and natural gas shortage, and deadly Taliban insurgency.
Miran Shah in North Waziristan tribal region, the Pakistani Taliban's main sanctuary, the main city of the explosion, three people were killed Friday. The explosion also caused 15 people were injured, intelligence officials said, speaking on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak to the media.
Shaker Ahmed was shot dead in Karachi candidate who runs as an independent provincial council, police officers Mirza Ahmed said Berg.
Some people worry that violence may benefit from Islamic political parties and militants, including Khan and former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, to take a softer line, because they can more freely campaign. The government plans to deploy 600,000 security personnel on election day.
After more than a decade in the political wilderness, graduated from the University of Oxford Khan has become a force in the past two years a simple message of change. "He enter the millions of Pakistanis - especially the young people of the urban middle class - who I believe that traditional politicians have been more interested in than the ruling frustration enriched by corruption.
Has dominated the two main political parties - the Pakistan People's Party, which has led to the recent government and Sharif's Pakistan Muslim League-N - has dominated the country for the past 25 years a total of five.
Khan also caused a resonance, criticized Pakistan's unpopular alliance with the United States and controversy American drone attacks on Islamic militants in the north-west of the country's tribal areas.
, Announced that to vote Imran energy saving Pakistan, and voting in others means to destroy Pakistan Khalid AZEEM students attend Khan's party, Pakistan Tehreek-E-Insaf, before the election, the last big rally. "
Support for 60-year-old Khan is out of sympathy, may increase an accident this week in a political rally, he fell 15 feet (4.5 meters), setting off a forklift, fracturing three vertebrae and ribs. He is expected to fully recover, seems to make the most of the accident. The party has repeatedly after the fall of paid advertising on television interview, he did not from his hospital bed hours.
No one knows how he will translate into votes in his widespread popularity, especially considering that he boycotted the 2008 elections, and in 2002 got only one seat. Voter turnout will be crucial, especially teenagers. Pakistan, more than 80 million registered voters, almost half are under the age of 35, but the young people tend to stay away from the polls in the past.
Khan is facing serious challenges from both major parties, have spent decades honing increasingly counting system based on feudal relations and political asylum, such as giving them support the Government.
Because the old political forces and outgoing discontent with the government, many analysts believe that Pakistan Muslim League-N as a leader in the elections. Sharif has twice served as Prime Minister and is best known for the test Pakistan in 1998 for the first time nuclear weapons.
Military coup, Sharif was overthrown in 1999 by the then Army Chief of Staff, General Pervez Musharraf, in exile in Saudi Arabia before returning home in 2007 to spend a few years time. His party, the pro-business policy, came in second place in the 2008 elections, as a religious conservative than the Pakistan People's Party.
During the election campaign, Sharif pointed out how much more experience than sweat and touted key projects, and in the office, he completed including the highway between the capital, Islamabad, and his hometown of Lahore. He also can not remember attack the outgoing government to allow it to complete its full term a way to strengthen civilian control of the.
An opinion poll released this week by Pakistan's political magazine, the Herald, the results show that both the basic tie, about 25% of the vote under the leadership of Sharif Khan. Pakistan People's Party about 18% of one-third. Less than the margin of error of three percentage points. National polls like this, however, does not necessarily reflect the results of the election, because the seat was awarded to each constituency who gets the most votes, rather than between the parties in proportion.
Even if the Pakistan Muslim League-N has won parliamentary seats in most countries, many analysts doubt it will have a majority of seats, which means will have to cobble together a ruling coalition, which may be very weak.
Khan's party indeed, may seriously affect the performance of the Pakistan Muslim League-N.
The two sides call in Pakistan's most populous province, Punjab, which will be the main battlefield of the election in the city's conservative middle-class voters. The province contains more than half of the 272 directly elected seats in the National Assembly. Herald poll showed that about 39% of the people support Sharif in Punjab, the party and the sweat of nearly 31%.
Khan party can steal enough votes away from Sharif, it may open the way for the Pakistan People's Party government formed again. Despite the widespread dissatisfaction with the party's performance in the past five years, but it does have a loyal following in the southern rural areas of Sindh and southern Punjab.
A less likely scenario is indeed "political tsunami" Khan has promised swept the country, leaving his party to form the next government.
In view of the possibility of weak Union, no matter who appears at the top, the new government may have trouble to deal with the main problems of the country. The two most direct power crisis, some parts of the country experienced power outages, 18 hours a day, and the government shaky financial position. The caretaker government has been discussed in another unpopular International Monetary Fund (IMF) bailout to support the country's fiscal position.
The next government will also face tricky task management relationship with the country's armed forces, is still considered the strongest institution in Pakistan.
The previous government to complete its term is largely because the army chief 阿什法克帕尔 Chavez General Kayani held directly interfere in politics. However, he believed to play a leading role in the background, especially when it comes to foreign policy issues, such as relations with the U.S. and the country's position to the war in Afghanistan. Sharif and the army has a particularly complex history, because he was overthrown in a coup.
Sharif and Khan's views of nationalism and national sovereignty protection, is expected to become the next government when it comes to relations with the U.S. than its predecessor. Sharif like to tell him how to test Pakistan's first nuclear weapons, despite strong pressure from the United States. Khan has been Pakistan alliance with the United States is more important, and even threatened to shoot down U.S. drone, if he came to power.
However, the impact may be tempered their views by the armed forces of Pakistan attaches importance to developing relations with the U.S., because of the billions of dollars in military aid received.
Expected to play a similar leading role when it comes to Pakistan's stance to the domestic Taliban militants in the war with the national army. Sharif and Khan support negotiations with the Taliban, Khan has even said he would withdraw its troops to fight militants from the tribal areas.
His nickname "Taliban Khan" reflects the mood, he is too soft on the Taliban Pakistanis. Army Chief of Staff Kayani has said that the Taliban must accept the constitution of the country, if it wants to - this is a peaceful militants refused.
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