The United States economic weakness may get promoted, if the United States President barack Obama and a bipartisan group of senators, this may be since the 1980 s the biggest national immigration reform success.
Loose immigration rules, encourage entrepreneurship, increase the housing demand, raising taxes and reduce the budget deficit, economists said.
Help more legal immigrants into the country, and allows many illegal immigrants to stay in the United States can help offset the slowdown in birth rates, and the aging in Europe, Japan and China's population ratio.
"Many of the industry in the United States could not find they need workers, now even in the economic situation is not good to fill their orders, and as the demand of the market, expand production, said:" alex, in Nowrasteh liberalism cato institute immigration specialists.
Economists consensus is that new immigrants provides a network benefits. Demand will increase, the productive forces, and helps to promote innovation, reduce the price, but there is little agreement scale influences economic growth.
The White House says President barack Obama plans to visit on Tuesday the Nevada launched his second term of American immigration reform process, a high priority package reform plan to win the approval of the congress, this year,.
Major reform momentum opportunities (Monday), a bipartisan group of senators agreed framework, could eventually to 11 million illegal immigrants have the opportunity to become American citizens.
Their proposal including to keep and attract workers, in science, technology, engineering and mathematics background. This will be for foreign students at American university, they have advanced degrees and high-tech workers.
It is estimated that 40% of scientists in the United States is immigration, studies show that immigrants were twice as likely to venture, Nowrasteh.
Promote legal immigration and existing workers legalization can increase the $1.5 trillion, and the United States economy in the future ten years, it is estimated that at the university of California, Los Angeles raul · ino huo gaza Mr Hector reach is a professional immigration policy. This is to rise by 0.8% a year, the economic growth rate, now stay at around 2%.
The republican Spain's PUSH
Other economists say the potential benefits of growth are much lower. , Harvard University economist Richard freeman held that the economic benefits of illegal immigrants already in the United States have been recorded, and their status legalization, will produce only incremental benefits.
And against the reform wander in the both sides of the political spectrum any controversial legislation can easily meet in a swift end to a divided Washington, seems to be rising opportunity big change. Before such as Louisiana governor Bobby Jindal is republicans, don't beat around the bush about the party's need to call Hispanic community and foreign born of voters is closed in last year's presidential campaign republican presidential candidate mitt romney's tough comments.
Obama previously announced in May 2011, plan, including setting up a guest worker program, in order to meet the needs of the agricultural labor force, is expected to put in his new similar things.
Senators also said they would support co., LTD., plan, make the company in some areas into guest worker, if American come out, fill some position.
An additional stimulate economic growth may come from the legalization of new workers and higher productivity, more skilled workers coming from abroad, the wage growth. Tax revenue increase will help the federal and state authorities plug budget deficit, although is helpful to increase government revenue will at least partly offset by the payments made legal status in the interests of the people.
In 2007, the congressional budget office estimates that the immigration reform is put forward in this year to create about income of 4.8 billion yuan, from 2008 to 2017, the $2.3 billion health and welfare spending.
Is unlikely to have much energy saving senator of the implementation of the plan, because they expected more strict border security, in order to prevent illegal immigrants and cracking down on overdue resident visa.
Hit income, according to the university of California, Davis economists giovanni circumference, common writing a report, will be to build a "cap and trade" visa system. Wai estimate, it may produce each year to $120 billion.
In this system, the government will auction a certain number of visa, the employer may, in a secondary market transactions.
"A more efficient, more transparent and more agile immigration system will help the company expand, help create more employment in the United States, foreign business and slow movement," according to a report published the draft, is an integral part of the research projects of Hamilton, think-tank.
There is no sign of whether Obama or senator plan will include such system.
Long-term debate immigration is a population. Many developed countries see an aging population, increase "migrant job-hunting boy" pension and medical cost burden.
Immigration to the United States need to increase more than doubled, to maintain stable working age population in the 67% of the population, according to the Swiss bank (UBS) in London's senior independent economic adviser George magnus,
Magnus said, such a great change may prove too politically sensitive, should focus on attracting high skills and business immigrants in Canada and Australia "to business immigrants and are not the main focus on the family connection.
"The key is to a change in the education (and) skills transfer balance," he added.
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In the main university, such as Harvard University and the Massachusetts institute of technology of scholars often plaint, their biggest foreign graduates finally return to their own country, because it is difficult to get a visa.
", William Kerr said: "we have so many talented person, sit here in the university, Harvard Business School (Harvard Business School professor. "I feel very difficult to swallow, then let them to stay so difficult."
The last big amnesty illegal immigrants in 1986, then President Ronald Reagan in the legalization has about 300 million dollars. Then a large number of studies show that their wages rose significantly.
Study how does immigration influence overall salary is decisive. Harvard university (Harvard) George Mr Haas in said, shift
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