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Will immigration flip with GOP votes?

Before the Republicans to solve wholeheartedly any comprehensive immigration reform, many members of Congress might be convinced of one thing: it can indeed win the Hispanic vote?

More than 70 percent of Hispanic voters chose President Obama last week confirmed his preselection predicted Republican might win the enthusiasm of the president and the exclusion to alienate Hispanic or recommendations with touch, such as Mitt Romney's proposal, illegal immigrants’ Select "self deportation."

Since Election Day, has said a lot about the GOP need to establish a new population alliance. Republican lawmakers begin drafting the outline of the immigration reform. The outline package initiated by Bush in 2006, because of the failure may become the first significant legislation of the border.

On Sunday, NBC's "Meet the Press," Senator Charles Schumer (Charles Schumer), New York Democrat, said the bipartisan Senate immigration reform negotiations and key players have agreed to a "detailed blueprint" concept, "Most Americans are of legal immigrants has been re-opened, but are strongly opposed to illegal immigration. "

Democratic opponent and some Republicans are considering reforms to give illegal immigrants citizenship defined path. If the Department of Homeland Security management to ensure that lawmakers satisfaction of the border, illegal immigrants come out of the shadow to biometric identification, tax law to pay the fine, they broke, "Senator South Carolina State Graham (R ), CBS '"Face the Nation" Sunday.

Senator Graham went on to say, "They can not leave unless they learn our language, they must be in the back of the line that can become a citizen. They can not cut the people who do this the correct line on the front, and get their green card; it can be more than a decade. "

However, even with a GOP-approved immigration reform, more Hispanics do not necessarily vote Republican. J. Christian Adams, a former Justice Department voting rights lawyers argued that the strong impact of immigration seems logical and may even do the right thing, but the Hispanic vote unlikely to result in any widespread change.

"The publicity requires only half right," he wrote conservative PJ Media news and commentary site. "There are some things that need to be done, but they naively provisions of the mistakes of the past, which will forever change the demographic structure of the United States, does not change the total vote GOP."

Mr. Adams, his logic is based on the fact that the civil rights groups successfully lobbied President Bush to re-approve the 1965 Voting Rights Act in 2006, and then accused him of being "enemies of the rights of the minority.’

On the other hand, Bush extended to Hispanics in the 2004 election he won 44% of the Hispanic vote (Romney's 27%). The debate has been going on for many years the actual importance of the Hispanic vote in the 2004 general election, in the past six presidential cycles, when the Republican presidential candidate has won the national popular vote is the only one.

In addition, the overall trend of the Hispanic Democratic Party, in their view, the role of government, they are often in the cultural and social conservative. Like Florida's main battlefield in the last elections, they chose a pragmatic multi-party dispute, to decide who should win their votes.

For example, most non-Cuban Hispanics, as well as densely populated Florida Interstate corridor to support President Al Gore in 2000, two years after the vote of a majority of the Republican governor, Jeb Bush.

In either case, many Republicans will continue to fight for amnesty package; they have warned that the Republican leadership can not be too far ahead of its caucus.

He said: "Hispanics saw a potential group of social conservative voters that polls consistently found that blacks slightly more anti-abortion than whites, but they do not exactly lined up behind Rick Santorum," wrote conservative country Review journal editor.

However, for others, a confirmation of the Republican leadership on immigration GOP a bigger problem: it may no longer be able to rely on the white Christian Union defeated the electorate base of the Democratic Party more equal.

"This election marks a moment, the racial and social class in the United States will always be subversive, wrote:" David Simon on his blog, the audacity of despair. "Will no longer means more political is a white male, rather than anything else. Development, or do not know. Swallow your resentment, or not, but the votes will be counted, more per elections; Arizona will soon be in the game, several cycles, even in Texas. "



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